THE
BLEEDING EDGE, AND GUMS ,
OF NUCLEAR INTELLIGENCE
By Russell Seitz
A generation before neocon happy warriors and hegemony buffs started hooting up faulty WMD ntelligence to justify the invasion of Iraq, George Kennan observed that if mistakes were
grounds for dismissal, not an intel analyst would remain in the corridors of power. WMD’s and nuclear ambitions have never been
easy to fathom. America began sharpening the tools to harvest technical intelligence before the birth of the
atomic bomb, but some early gathers of nuclear secrets ended up cutting themselves in the process.
Shortly before the outbreak of World War II, General George Marshall ordered espionage covering all enemy "scientific military developments.
“ In 1941,the OSS followed up with
a secret program, code named ALSOS, to preemptively sabotage any Axis nuclear
effort. Its most famous operation sank a
ferry carrying heavy water bound for Germany,and
crippled the unique Norwegian plant that produced it.
Not all ALSOS missions were as successful. Hearing that Hitler's chief nuclear scientist,
Werner Heisenberg still lectured at Swiss universities, OSS Zurich station
chief Alan Dulles suggested placing an agent in the audience. If Heisenberg’s
physics talk suggested Nazi A-bomb
progress, he was to be assassinated forthwith. Dulles put this sporting proposal to ALSOS chief scientist. But Samuel
Goudschmit, declined on the grounds that "Physicists do not shoot other
physicists."
Dulles settled for an
erudite Boston Red Sox catcher. Moe Berg
didn’t mind taking a gun to a physics colloquium. He had already photographed Imperial Japanese munitions
plants during a prewar All Stars tour. Berg listened intently to the
Uncertainty Principle’s author, and chatted with him over tea. But Berg decided
not to waste a bullet. shrewdly recognizing that the implosion
of German science had left Heisenberg quite clueless
about bomb physics .
That wasn't the end of ALSOS . After D-Day Allied forces found all the thorium in France
was on an eastbound boxcar. Discounting the story that it was
wanted for gas lamps, the ALSOS team tracking other radioactive ores
went in hot pursuit of it. They nabbed the ore and its Norwegian
exporter before they crossed the Rhine and in Jan Petersen’s suitcase
found documents revealing he frequented Hechingen, where the Allies had
just
unearthed Heisenberg’s uranium-laden
secret lab—but this smoking gun soon
cooled .
Wild
Bill Donovan . the OSS head, was not amused by the rest of the
suitcase’s
contents. It was full of Thorium toothpaste samples and advertising
copy, some of which you can see here, and letters from Petersen’s
aged mother, a Hechingen native . Looking for evidence of WMD's,
ALSOS
had uncovered an Austrian cosmetic company’s diabolical postwar plan to
displace popular radium-based Radiogen toothpaste, with cheaper ( and
safer) thorium product. Since gas
mantles glowed like limelight, they were ready to plaster postwar
billboards
with :
"Use toothpaste with
thorium! ...Have sparkling teeth with .....radioactive brilliance! "
Decades later a Cold War audit revealed France
had a problem. Examining African uranium ore import ledgers, the French
nuclear establishment was shocked, shocked -- enough U-235 for a dozen
A-bombs had gone missing from its enrichment plant books. Had it gone
off to Algeria,
or Israel - or Quebec ?
It took a year to exorcise this seemingly catastrophic failure of intelligence.Only after the Surete' rounded up the usual
suspects to no avail did the Quay d'Orsay think to dispatch scientists to the rich
mines of Gabon, and panic gave way to postcolonial tristesse tropique : Mother Nature had stolen the missing African uranium.
1.8 billion years ago, undecayed Uranium-235 was so much more abundant than today that the rich
deposit had lit up as a natural nuclear reactor that spluttered merrily with only light water as a neutron moderator. fissioning out of existence 7
tons of what the French would seek to extract eons later- and releasing pehaps a ton of plutonium directly into the environment .
No one belabored FDR for
invading Normandy
without first sorting out the toothpaste question. Or censored him for using Berg's All
Star team to spy on the Japanese Empire between exhibition games . Because the imperative of overthrowing
tyranny existed independently of the desire to stop the Axis from going
nuclear.
As politics refocuses attention on the uranium -free Affaire Nigerien, some may find
consolation in the classics. Pliny wrote "There is always something new
coming out of Africa" , but new isn't necessarily true. Pliny’s Natural History ranked unicorns and
basilisks a creatures of massdestruction on a par with Carthaginian war
elephants.
Since Rome often based its foreign policy on analyzing the entrails of sheep and the flight of eagles, the
Republic naturally suffered its share of disasters. Yet its Senate Intelligence Committee
never threw an Augur or an Haruspex to
the lions. They got off easy by practicing what Kennan might style The Wisdom
of the Ancients. Whenever Eagle-watchers and Sheep-Int analysts met on the way
to the forum, they customarily fell down laughing at each other’s outlandish
costumes – and latest mistakes.
Right after the war the British imprisoned the key players of the german bomb program in a country club like prison called Farm Hall. It of course was bugged as well and the Farm Hall transcripts were published many years later. The response of the inmates to news of Hiroshima is telling. First they did not believe it, then a few simple calculation showed where their errors had been. Clearly they were working on a bomb, and just as clearly the German system had dropped it when they convinced themselves it would not work.
Posted by: David Moelling | January 30, 2007 at 12:17 PM
Wonderful post. Thanks!
The Farm Hill transcripts inform Michael Frayn's play "Copenhagen".
Posted by: John Burgess | February 01, 2007 at 09:59 PM
Not Hechingen but Haigerloch was where Heisenberg had his "atom keller". A very interesting and evocative place. Hechingen is the nearest railway station (where I alighted last year to visit the Haigerloch lab.20 km distant) by car. Of course, the lady probably did come from Hechingen.
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